Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-5
Liga de Quito vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 1
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 4
LIG
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BON
0 - 0
LIG
8%
17%
75%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
REA
3 - 1
LIG
34%
25%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
REA
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RIE
3 - 1
LAN
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 2
TIG
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
LAN
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 2
BEL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 2
LAN
49%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |