Liga de Quito vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
LIG
4 - 0
GUA
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
LIG
1 - 1
CUE
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 0
LIG
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIG
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1975 |
LIG
4 - 2
UNI
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
CUE
3 - 1
BOL
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
GUA
1 - 0
BOL
56%
20%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1970 |
BOL
2 - 0
UNI
88%
8%
4%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
RIV
1 - 0
BOL
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
BOC
2 - 0
BOL
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |