Liga de Quito vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 3
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 0
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 1
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BSC
1 - 0
LIG
39%
30%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 2
LOJ
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 2
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 0
AUC
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 0
CUE
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UCE
3 - 0
AUC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 0
MUS
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |