Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-2
Liga de Quito vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TEC
0 - 0
LIG
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
LIG
0 - 0
QUI
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
AUC
0 - 3
LIG
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
BSC
2 - 1
LIG
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
LIG
2 - 0
AUC
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
MIL
0 - 0
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAS
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
QUI
1 - 0
NAC
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |