Liga de Quito vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
DPT
2 - 2
LIG
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LIG
1 - 0
QUI
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 1
LIG
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
EME
2 - 1
LIG
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
LIG
2 - 0
LIB
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 1
SLO
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
NOB
4 - 1
ARS
35%
29%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 1
LIG
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ARS
3 - 3
GIM
60%
23%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
6 - 0
ARS
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |