FK Jonava vs Panevėžys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
14º
16º
16º
31
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GKA
1 - 1
LIE
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
SIA
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MIN
3 - 0
LIE
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
TRA
41%
25%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 1
LIE
5%
10%
85%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | -2 |
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
NEP
23%
22%
55%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
NEV
0 - 0
PAN
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 2
BEN
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MCF
2 - 1
PAN
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 4
BAB
39%
24%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |