Liestal vs Subingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PAJ
5 - 1
LIE
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LIE
4 - 7
WOH
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DIE
2 - 1
LIE
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BST
1 - 2
LIE
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 4
MUT
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SUB
3 - 3
BST
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ROT
3 - 1
SUB
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 1
LEN
26%
20%
54%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
DUL
1 - 1
SUB
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SUB
2 - 4
ROT
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |