Liestal vs Therwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LYS
4 - 0
LIE
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LIE
0 - 6
NEX
13%
21%
66%
|
22 | 67 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CON
5 - 0
LIE
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIE
3 - 0
LAU
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LIE
7 - 1
FCC
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 2
LAU
37%
23%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ALL
5 - 2
FCT
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 5
MOU
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCT
83%
11%
5%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
FCT
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |