Liestal vs FC Grenchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
9º
5º
22
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BIN
2 - 1
LIE
19%
19%
61%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 0
MUT
54%
20%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BUB
3 - 1
LIE
20%
18%
62%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -3 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZOF
59%
20%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LIE
2 - 0
MOU
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCG
1 - 1
BIN
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MUT
3 - 1
FCG
46%
22%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 2
BUB
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ZOF
2 - 1
FCG
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCG
1 - 1
RSZ
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |