Liestal vs Etoile Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LYS
3 - 1
LIE
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 3
FCC
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
FCO
2 - 5
LIE
18%
21%
61%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
LIE
4 - 2
FCB
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
LIE
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FCE
1 - 0
LAU
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
FCE
65%
20%
16%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |