UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 5-2
Lierse SK vs Sloboda Tuzla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 0
LIE
39%
26%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
LIE
4 - 1
FCE
58%
21%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FCE
0 - 3
LIE
49%
22%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
1 - 2
LIE
45%
25%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 1
LOK
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 0
LIE
39%
26%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
KAA
1 - 1
SLO
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 1
KAA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BOS
2 - 5
SLO
13%
24%
63%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
SLO
4 - 2
RUD
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |