Europa League 1/16
Global 4-4
Lierse SK vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
LIE
1 - 2
KSK
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
LIE
0 - 2
LIE
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
RBK
4 - 1
LIE
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
LIE
0 - 0
DIE
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
LIE
2 - 2
STR
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
RBK
4 - 1
LIE
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
BBS
0 - 1
RBK
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
RBK
0 - 0
STR
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1971 |
LYN
2 - 2
RBK
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
HIF
0 - 1
RBK
27%
22%
51%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |