Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Lierse SK vs Racing Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
LIE
4 - 0
NAM
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 0
LIE
18%
22%
61%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LIE
1 - 1
LIE
23%
26%
52%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
LIE
4 - 1
ANT
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
DEN
2 - 3
LIE
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 1
RUP
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 0
LIE
18%
22%
61%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
EXV
2 - 2
RAC
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 0
TUR
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
0 - 0
ZUL
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |