Europa League Last 16
Global 4-1
Lierse SK vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
BRU
3 - 0
LIE
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
LIE
0 - 3
ANT
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 0
LIE
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
CRO
2 - 2
LIE
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
LIE
3 - 0
RBK
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 0
DWS
74%
16%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
NEC
1 - 0
PSV
27%
28%
44%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 0
LIE
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
VIT
1 - 1
PSV
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
PSV
2 - 2
NAC
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |