Lierse SK vs OH Leuven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
OLY
1 - 3
LIE
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LIE
3 - 2
BRU
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
KSK
3 - 3
LIE
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LIE
1 - 1
EXC
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
RON
0 - 2
LIE
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
LEU
0 - 2
RON
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
KVS
1 - 2
LEU
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LEU
4 - 0
DEI
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
EUP
1 - 2
LEU
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LEU
3 - 1
TOU
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |