Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 0-8
Lierse SK vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
LIE
3 - 2
LIE
38%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
LIE
2 - 1
KSK
65%
17%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
BER
0 - 0
LIE
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1969 |
UNI
0 - 0
LIE
33%
27%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
LIE
4 - 0
BRU
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
MAC
1 - 0
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
IPS
1 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1969 |
MAC
3 - 0
QPR
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
MAC
1 - 0
WOL
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1969 |
DER
0 - 1
MAC
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |