Lierse SK vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ANT
3 - 1
LIE
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
LIE
1 - 1
RAA
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CER
0 - 0
LIE
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LIE
3 - 5
GNK
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 1
LOK
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
GEN
0 - 0
MON
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
SDL
2 - 0
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GEN
0 - 0
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
0 - 2
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 1
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |