Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-6
Lierse SK vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
GNK
2 - 2
LIE
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LIE
4 - 1
EUP
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TOU
2 - 1
LIE
25%
27%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LIE
4 - 1
TIE
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
OOS
0 - 0
LIE
35%
25%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
GNK
2 - 2
LIE
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
KVM
2 - 1
GNK
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
GNK
1 - 1
EXC
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BRU
0 - 2
GNK
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
GNK
1 - 2
ZUL
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |