Lierse SK vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
LOK
1 - 4
LIE
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
LIE
3 - 3
EXC
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BRU
4 - 0
LIE
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LIE
1 - 1
KVC
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
2 - 3
LIE
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
LOM
4 - 2
EXC
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 1
TUB
34%
27%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
RON
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
KVM
1 - 0
EXC
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 4
KVK
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |