Lierse SK vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
GNK
1 - 0
LIE
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LIE
0 - 2
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CER
3 - 0
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LIE
0 - 0
RAA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ZUL
0 - 1
LIE
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
KSV
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
RWD
0 - 1
EXC
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
SDL
2 - 1
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 0
GNK
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
CHA
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |