Lierse SK vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LIE
3 - 1
OOS
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
LIE
2 - 0
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
LIE
1 - 3
KSK
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
STR
4 - 0
LIE
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
KVC
57%
22%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
OOS
1 - 0
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 3
SDL
39%
25%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 1
RAA
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |