Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 11-1
Lierse SK vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
SDL
1 - 0
LIE
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
LIE
1 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1969 |
LIE
0 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
KVM
3 - 2
LIE
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
LIE
3 - 1
DCM
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
APO
0 - 2
DUN
44%
23%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
DUN
10 - 1
APO
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
BRE
5 - 0
APO
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
APO
0 - 5
BRE
44%
23%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
APO
0 - 2
SCP
37%
23%
41%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |