Liepājas Metalurgs vs Daugava Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FCT
0 - 1
LIE
18%
25%
58%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LIE
4 - 0
SKB
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
JFK
1 - 2
LIE
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
VEN
0 - 2
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
LIE
3 - 1
FCD
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FCS
3 - 0
FKD
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 2
FKD
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
JFK
1 - 1
FKD
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FKD
3 - 0
VVE
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SKB
2 - 1
FKD
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |