Liepājas Metalurgs vs Daugava Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
LIE
2 - 0
GLE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
FKR
2 - 2
LIE
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
LIE
2 - 0
VVE
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 1
LIE
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2008 |
LIE
2 - 0
FCD
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
FKD
0 - 0
FCD
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
FKD
1 - 1
FCS
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
FKD
0 - 1
VEN
23%
27%
49%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
SKB
1 - 0
FKD
44%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2008 |
FKD
1 - 1
JFK
60%
23%
16%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |