Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 2-6
Liepājas Metalurgs vs FC Kärnten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2002 |
LIE
3 - 1
DIN
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
LIE
6 - 0
AUD
88%
9%
3%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2002 |
LIE
3 - 0
VAL
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
LIE
1 - 1
VEN
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
FKR
0 - 2
LIE
10%
19%
70%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kärnten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
FCK
3 - 0
RIE
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
FCK
1 - 1
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
AWM
0 - 3
FCK
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2002 |
FCK
1 - 1
AUS
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
3 - 0
FCK
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |