Liepājas Metalurgs vs FC Jurmala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
LIE
1 - 2
VEN
45%
23%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
LIE
2 - 1
ILU
88%
9%
3%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LIE
1 - 2
FKS
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FKD
1 - 1
LIE
25%
23%
53%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKJ
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
FC Jurmala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2013 |
FCJ
0 - 1
FCD
18%
23%
60%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
FCJ
0 - 1
FKS
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
VEN
3 - 0
FCJ
74%
18%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCJ
0 - 5
FKD
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FSM
1 - 2
FCJ
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |