Liepājas Metalurgs vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 1
LIE
15%
23%
62%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 1
LIE
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
LIE
0 - 0
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 2
LIE
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIE
6 - 1
FKD
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCD
1 - 1
VEN
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 1
LIE
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FCD
2 - 1
FKD
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 0
FCD
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FKJ
1 - 2
FCD
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |