Liepājas Metalurgs vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
FKD
1 - 0
LIE
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FCS
1 - 2
LIE
40%
23%
37%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
FCD
1 - 2
LIE
23%
24%
54%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LIE
3 - 1
FCS
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
LIE
3 - 1
FKR
87%
9%
4%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
FCD
2 - 1
DRE
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
FCD
1 - 2
LIE
23%
24%
54%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
FCD
0 - 0
FKD
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
FCD
0 - 2
FCS
22%
23%
56%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
FCD
3 - 1
FKR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |