UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Liepājas Metalurgs vs Cork City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
CAO
0 - 1
LIE
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
LIE
2 - 1
VAL
81%
13%
5%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
LIE
2 - 1
FKR
89%
9%
3%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
FCS
1 - 1
LIE
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2001 |
LIE
4 - 0
ZIB
91%
7%
2%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
CAO
0 - 1
LIE
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
SHE
0 - 1
CAO
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CAO
3 - 1
GAL
62%
24%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
SHR
1 - 2
CAO
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
CAO
2 - 2
UCD
62%
24%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |