Lienden vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
69.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
4 - 1
LIE
87%
10%
3%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LIE
0 - 5
HHC
11%
18%
71%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
4 - 2
LIE
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LIE
2 - 1
BAR
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 2
LIE
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
18%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
KOZ
0 - 2
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
DET
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
VVS
3 - 1
EXC
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
4 - 0
KON
37%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |