Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
RFC Liège vs Zbrojovka Brno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
STR
0 - 0
LIE
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
LIE
1 - 0
SDL
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
LIE
2 - 0
LIE
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
LIE
1 - 0
BEE
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
TUR
0 - 0
LIE
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
ZBR
4 - 0
PAR
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 2
ZBR
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
SER
1 - 2
ZBR
56%
19%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ZBR
5 - 0
SER
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
ZBR
0 - 1
PET
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |