Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
RFC Liège vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
DCM
0 - 0
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
VCF
1 - 1
LIE
82%
12%
7%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIE
43%
25%
31%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
LIE
8 - 3
BER
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1964 |
GEN
3 - 3
LIE
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
VCF
3 - 1
SEV
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ATH
3 - 2
VCF
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
VCF
1 - 1
LIE
82%
12%
7%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
VCF
2 - 0
LEV
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
MUR
1 - 1
VCF
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |