Europa League 1/16
Global 1-4
RFC Liège vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
21.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
MOL
1 - 4
LIE
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
LIE
1 - 0
SER
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
SSW
1 - 3
LIE
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
KVK
0 - 1
LIE
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
LIE
1 - 0
GEN
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATH
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
ATH
3 - 3
VAD
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
CAD
1 - 1
ATH
34%
30%
36%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1985 |
BJK
0 - 1
ATH
42%
31%
27%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
ATH
2 - 1
FCB
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |