Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
RFC Liège vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
CER
2 - 0
LIE
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
GEN
4 - 1
LIE
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
LIE
4 - 1
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
DIE
3 - 1
LIE
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIE
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
WOL
2 - 2
ARS
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1963 |
ARS
6 - 0
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1963 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
BBU
4 - 1
ARS
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1963 |
ARS
5 - 3
BPO
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |