Liefering vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
12º
4º
10
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 54 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 50 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 48 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 44 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 41 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 31 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
4 - 3
NIC
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
SVS
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
4 - 0
LOM
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
5 - 1
BIS
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCL
4 - 3
SVL
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
VIE
13%
18%
70%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 0
MUN
51%
22%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
DON
1 - 3
VIE
22%
21%
57%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 1
VIE
12%
18%
70%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 3
VIE
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |