Liefering vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
12º
4º
3
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 54 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 50 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 48 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 44 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 41 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 31 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RIE
2 - 0
FCL
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
SWB
73%
17%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SVL
4 - 5
FCL
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
VIE
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
4 - 3
NIC
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
3 - 1
STU
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STU
1 - 2
KAP
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
4 - 2
STU
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STU
0 - 0
SWB
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STU
4 - 2
BRI
39%
23%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |