Liefering vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
15º
9º
34
5º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
AMS
1 - 0
FCL
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 1
VIE
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
FCL
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
4 - 3
VOR
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
AUS
2 - 2
FCL
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STU
0 - 2
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SKN
2 - 5
STU
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
STU
1 - 1
RAP
52%
23%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
STU
2 - 0
SVL
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 1
STU
41%
25%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |