Lichterfelder vs Union Fürstenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIK
7 - 1
LIC
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIC
0 - 2
ANK
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
LIC
0 - 1
BSC
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
LIC
85%
10%
4%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GSC
3 - 1
LIC
71%
18%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
UNI
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
ALT
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NEU
1 - 1
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
TOR
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
VIK
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |