Lichterfelder vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
74.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
LIC
3 - 2
REI
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
TEN
1 - 1
LIC
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
LIC
3 - 1
PRE
60%
21%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
TUR
2 - 2
LIC
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
LIC
3 - 0
OPT
61%
21%
17%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
S04
1 - 0
STU
33%
26%
42%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
MON
3 - 0
S04
52%
24%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1998 |
STU
2 - 1
S04
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
S04
2 - 1
ARB
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
MUN
1 - 0
S04
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |