Lichterfelder vs BFC Preussen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
SVY
1 - 1
LIC
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
LIC
2 - 2
TUR
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
FFC
1 - 0
LIC
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SSV
1 - 0
LIC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
REI
0 - 0
LIC
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Preussen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
PRE
1 - 4
BAK
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
NEU
3 - 0
PRE
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
PRE
2 - 3
HAN
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
BAB
0 - 1
PRE
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
PRE
1 - 3
BFC
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |