Lichterfelder vs Preussen Eberswalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BAB
3 - 1
LIC
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LFC
0 - 0
LIC
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
LIC
0 - 0
BFC
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
PRE
3 - 0
LIC
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
LIC
3 - 0
SVY
42%
26%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Preussen Eberswalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
PRE
2 - 2
TEN
16%
24%
61%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PRE
0 - 2
BAK
17%
24%
59%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NEU
2 - 1
PRE
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PRE
1 - 1
SCH
28%
26%
46%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
BAB
2 - 1
PRE
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |