Lichterfelder vs Optik Rathenow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BAB
4 - 1
LIC
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LIC
0 - 1
NEU
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 2
LIC
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SVY
0 - 0
LIC
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
LIC
4 - 1
SSV
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
FFC
1 - 2
OPT
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
REI
5 - 1
OPT
40%
26%
33%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
OPT
0 - 0
PRE
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
OPT
2 - 0
TEN
26%
27%
48%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
LIC
1 - 0
OPT
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |