Lichterfelder vs Neustrelitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
OPT
5 - 4
LIC
42%
25%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
REI
2 - 0
LIC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
LIC
2 - 0
TEN
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
LIC
0 - 4
FES
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
TAS
1 - 3
LIC
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
NEU
1 - 0
TAS
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
SCH
3 - 0
NEU
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
GRE
3 - 1
NEU
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
NEU
0 - 1
FFC
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
HER
5 - 1
NEU
69%
17%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |