Lichterfelder vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BFC
2 - 1
LIC
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
LIC
1 - 0
NEU
25%
24%
50%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
LIC
1 - 2
BAK
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
GSC
0 - 0
LIC
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
LIC
1 - 1
OPT
33%
26%
41%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BAK
1 - 1
LUC
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
FAL
0 - 5
LUC
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 2
NEU
36%
25%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
GSC
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
OPT
1 - 3
LUC
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |