Lichterfelder vs Greifswalder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
LIC
3 - 2
SSV
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
BFC
5 - 3
LIC
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
LIC
3 - 1
HAN
19%
24%
58%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +4 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
TEN
3 - 2
LIC
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 1
LIC
39%
28%
33%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 5
HAN
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BAK
1 - 2
GRE
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 0
LFC
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 1
BAK
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
PRE
2 - 0
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |