DFB Pokal 1/64
Global 3-5
Lichterfelder vs Alemannia Plaidt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
HER
4 - 1
LIC
93%
6%
1%
|
37 | 77 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
LIC
2 - 4
SSV
16%
18%
66%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
HZE
2 - 0
LIC
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
LIC
0 - 1
RAW
44%
22%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
BER
1 - 2
LIC
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |