Lichtenrader vs Neustrelitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenrader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LFC
4 - 0
LIC
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LIC
1 - 1
BFC
13%
20%
67%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BAK
4 - 1
LIC
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
NEU
6 - 0
LUC
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
LFC
3 - 2
NEU
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NEU
2 - 0
LIC
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
NEU
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
NEU
0 - 1
BAK
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |