Lichtenberg vs Waren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
VIK
5 - 0
LIC
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 1
ANK
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
LIC
0 - 0
POM
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BSC
2 - 2
LIC
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LIC
0 - 3
BFC
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Waren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2013 |
NEU
0 - 0
WAR
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
WAR
1 - 1
UNI
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
WAR
2 - 1
WAL
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
WAR
0 - 0
MAL
18%
21%
60%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
5 - 1
WAR
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |