Lichtenberg vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
8º
2º
37
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HZE
2 - 1
LIC
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LIC
2 - 1
TUM
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 0
LIC
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 3
LIC
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LIC
3 - 3
BFC
10%
18%
73%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TAS
3 - 0
ANK
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OPT
1 - 1
TAS
49%
21%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 3
SFC
59%
20%
22%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TAS
6 - 0
CHA
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 1
PRE
17%
18%
66%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |