Lichtenberg vs SC Einheit Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
59.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
ERF
4 - 0
LIC
91%
7%
3%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
LIC
0 - 0
HAL
20%
21%
59%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1950 |
ABS
3 - 3
LIC
93%
5%
2%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
LIC
4 - 1
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1950 |
ZWI
3 - 0
LIC
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
SC Einheit Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
SGD
2 - 1
SED
40%
22%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
BEP
1 - 5
SED
45%
21%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1950 |
SED
1 - 1
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
BFM
4 - 1
SED
66%
17%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1950 |
SED
2 - 3
BSS
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |